Meyer, Anna Maria, Siri, Giacomo ORCID: 0000-0001-8006-0668, Becker, Ingrid ORCID: 0000-0001-5829-3553, Betz, Thomas, Boedecker, August W., Robertz, Joerg W., Krause, Olaf, Benzing, Thomas, Pilotto, Alberto and Polidori, Maria Cristina . The Multidimensional Prognostic Index in general practice: One-year follow-up study. Int. J. Clin. Pract.. HOBOKEN: WILEY. ISSN 1742-1241

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Abstract

Background Older patients' health problems in general practice (GP) can often not be assigned to a specific disease, requiring a paradigm shift to goal-oriented, personalised care for clinical decision making. Purpose To investigate the predictive value of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-based Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) in a GP setting with respect to the main healthcare indicators during the 12 months following initial evaluation. Methods One hundred twenty-five consecutive patients aged 70 years and older were enrolled in a GP and followed up to one year. All patients underwent a CGA based on which the MPI was calculated and subdivided into three risk groups (MPI-1, 0-0.33 = low risk, MPI-2, 0.34-0.66 = moderate risk and MPI-3, 0.67-1, severe risk). Grade of Care (GC), hospitalization rate, mortality, nursing home admission, use of home care services, falls, number of general practitioner contacts (GPC), of geriatric resources (GR) and geriatric syndromes (GS) during the 12 months following initial evaluation were collected. Results The MPI was significantly associated with number of GS (P < .001), GR (P < .001), GC (P < .001) as well as with the average number of GPC per year (mean 10.4, P = .046). Interestingly, the clinical judgement of the general practitioner, in this case knowing his patients for 16 years on average, was associated with adverse outcomes to a similar extent than the prediction offered by the MPI (GP/adverse outcomes and MPI/adverse outcomes P < .001). Conclusion The MPI is strongly associated with adverse outcomes in older GP patients and strongly predicts the number of GPC up to one year after initial evaluation. Considering the feasibility and the strong clinimetric properties of the MPI, its collection should be encouraged as early as possible to disclose risk conditions, implement tailored preventive strategies and improve cost-effectiveness of healthcare resources use.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Meyer, Anna MariaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Siri, GiacomoUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0001-8006-0668UNSPECIFIED
Becker, IngridUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0001-5829-3553UNSPECIFIED
Betz, ThomasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Boedecker, August W.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Robertz, Joerg W.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Krause, OlafUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Benzing, ThomasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Pilotto, AlbertoUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Polidori, Maria CristinaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-141695
DOI: 10.1111/ijcp.13403
Journal or Publication Title: Int. J. Clin. Pract.
Publisher: WILEY
Place of Publication: HOBOKEN
ISSN: 1742-1241
Language: English
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
COMPREHENSIVE GERIATRIC ASSESSMENT; ONE-YEAR MORTALITY; OLDER-PEOPLE; FRAILTY; QUESTIONNAIRE; VALIDATION; PREDICTION; DEFICITMultiple languages
Medicine, General & Internal; Pharmacology & PharmacyMultiple languages
Refereed: Yes
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/14169

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