Universität zu Köln

Jaeger, David A. and Siddique, Zahra (2018). Are Drone Strikes Effective in Afghanistan and Pakistan? On the Dynamics of Violence between the United States and the Taliban. CESifo Econ. Stud., 64 (4). S. 667 - 698. OXFORD: OXFORD UNIV PRESS. ISSN 1612-7501

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Abstract

Strikes by unmanned aerial vehicles, or drones, have been the primary weapon used by the USA to combat the Taliban and Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan. This article examines the dynamics of violence involving drone strikes and the Taliban/Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan from 1 January 2007 to 30 September 2011. We find that drone strikes have a stronger impact on Taliban/Al-Qaeda violence in Pakistan than in Afghanistan and that these results are robust to examining different time periods and lag structures. We also examine the impact of successful and unsuccessful drone strikes (which did or did not succeed in targeted killing of a militant leader) on terrorist attacks by the Taliban. We find strong effects of unsuccessful drone strikes on Taliban violence in Pakistan, suggesting important vengeance and deterrent effects.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code Jaeger, David A. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Siddique, Zahra UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-162768
DOI:	10.1093/cesifo/ify011
Journal or Publication Title:	CESifo Econ. Stud.
Volume:	64
Number:	4
Page Range:	S. 667 - 698
Date:	2018
Publisher:	OXFORD UNIV PRESS
Place of Publication:	OXFORD
ISSN:	1612-7501
Language:	English
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language CYCLE Multiple languages Economics Multiple languages
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/16276