Santos, J. A., Rochinha, C., Liberato, M. L. R., Reyers, M. and Pinto, J. G. (2015). Projected changes in wind energy potentials over Iberia. Renew. Energy, 75. S. 68 - 81. OXFORD: PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD. ISSN 0960-1481

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Abstract

Wind energy potential in Iberia is assessed for recent-past (1961-2000) and future (2041-2070) climates. For recent-past, a COSMO-CLM simulation driven by ERA-40 is used. COSMO-CLM simulations driven by ECHAM5 following the A1B scenario are used for future projections. A 2 MW rated power wind turbine is selected. Mean potentials, inter-annual variability and irregularity are discussed on annual/seasonal scales and on a grid resolution of 20 km. For detailed regional assessments eight target sites are considered. For recent-past conditions, the highest daily mean potentials are found in winter over northern and eastern Iberia, particularly on high-elevation or coastal regions. In northwestern Iberia, daily potentials frequently reach maximum wind energy output (50 MWh day(-1)), particularly in winter. Southern Andalucia reveals high potentials throughout the year, whereas the Ebro valley and central-western coast show high potentials in summer. The irregularity in annual potentials is moderate (<15% of mean output), but exacerbated in winter (40%). Climate change projections show significant decreases over most of Iberia (<2 MWh day(-1)). The strong enhancement of autumn potentials in Southern Andalucia is noteworthy (>2 MWh day(-1)). The northward displacement of North Atlantic westerly winds (autumn-spring) and the strengthening of easterly flows (summer) are key drivers of future projections. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Santos, J. A.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Rochinha, C.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Liberato, M. L. R.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Reyers, M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Pinto, J. G.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-412011
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.09.026
Journal or Publication Title: Renew. Energy
Volume: 75
Page Range: S. 68 - 81
Date: 2015
Publisher: PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Place of Publication: OXFORD
ISSN: 0960-1481
Language: English
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL; CHANGE IMPACT; POWER; EUROPE; UNCERTAINTIES; METHODOLOGY; VARIABILITY; SENSITIVITY; GENERATION; RESOURCESMultiple languages
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Energy & FuelsMultiple languages
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/41201

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