Hartmann-Wendels, Thomas, Miller, Patrick and Toews, Eugen (2014). Loss given default for leasing: Parametric and nonparametric estimations. J. Bank Financ., 40. S. 364 - 376. AMSTERDAM: ELSEVIER. ISSN 1872-6372

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Abstract

This study employs a dataset from three German leasing companies with 14,322 defaulted leasing contracts to analyze different approaches to estimating the loss given default (LGD). Using the historical average LGD and simple OLS-regression as benchmarks, we compare hybrid finite mixture models (FMMs), model trees and regression trees and we calculate the mean absolute error, root mean squared error, and the Theil inequality coefficient. The relative estimation accuracy of the methods depends, among other things, on the number of observations and whether in-sample or out-of-sample estimations are considered. The latter is decisive for proper risk management and is required for regulatory purposes. FMMs aim to reproduce the distribution of realized LGDs and, therefore, perform best with respect to in-sample estimations, but they show poor performance with respect to out-of-sample estimations. Model trees, by contrast, are more robust and outperform all other methods if the sample size is sufficiently large. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Hartmann-Wendels, ThomasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Miller, PatrickUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Toews, EugenUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-444968
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.006
Journal or Publication Title: J. Bank Financ.
Volume: 40
Page Range: S. 364 - 376
Date: 2014
Publisher: ELSEVIER
Place of Publication: AMSTERDAM
ISSN: 1872-6372
Language: English
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
REGRESSION; RECOVERYMultiple languages
Business, Finance; EconomicsMultiple languages
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/44496

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