Bonkhoff, Anna K., Hope, Tom, Bzdok, Danilo, Guggisberg, Adrian G., Hawe, Rachel L., Dukelow, Sean P., Chollet, Francois, Lin, David J., Grefkes, Christian and Bowman, Howard (2022). Recovery after stroke: the severely impaired are a distinct group. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry, 93 (4). S. 369 - 379. LONDON: BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP. ISSN 1468-330X

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Abstract

Introduction Stroke causes different levels of impairment and the degree of recovery varies greatly between patients. The majority of recovery studies are biased towards patients with mild-to-moderate impairments, challenging a unified recovery process framework. Our aim was to develop a statistical framework to analyse recovery patterns in patients with severe and non-severe initial impairment and concurrently investigate whether they recovered differently. Methods We designed a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate 3-6 months upper limb Fugl-Meyer (FM) scores after stroke. When focusing on the explanation of recovery patterns, we addressed confounds affecting previous recovery studies and considered patients with FM-initial scores <45 only. We systematically explored different FM-breakpoints between severe/non-severe patients (FM-initial=5-30). In model comparisons, we evaluated whether impairment-level-specific recovery patterns indeed existed. Finally, we estimated the out-of-sample prediction performance for patients across the entire initial impairment range. Results Recovery data was assembled from eight patient cohorts (n=489). Data were best modelled by incorporating two subgroups (breakpoint: FM-initial=10). Both subgroups recovered a comparable constant amount, but with different proportional components: severely affected patients recovered more the smaller their impairment, while non-severely affected patients recovered more the larger their initial impairment. Prediction of 3-6 months outcomes could be done with an R-2=63.5% (95% CI=51.4% to 75.5%). Conclusions Our work highlights the benefit of simultaneously modelling recovery of severely-to-non-severely impaired patients and demonstrates both shared and distinct recovery patterns. Our findings provide evidence that the severe/non-severe subdivision in recovery modelling is not an artefact of previous confounds. The presented out-of-sample prediction performance may serve as benchmark to evaluate promising biomarkers of stroke recovery.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Bonkhoff, Anna K.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Hope, TomUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bzdok, DaniloUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Guggisberg, Adrian G.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Hawe, Rachel L.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Dukelow, Sean P.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Chollet, FrancoisUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Lin, David J.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Grefkes, ChristianUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bowman, HowardUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-603453
DOI: 10.1136/jnnp-2021-327211
Journal or Publication Title: J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry
Volume: 93
Number: 4
Page Range: S. 369 - 379
Date: 2022
Publisher: BMJ PUBLISHING GROUP
Place of Publication: LONDON
ISSN: 1468-330X
Language: English
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
MOTOR RECOVERY; PROPORTIONAL RECOVERY; UPPER EXTREMITY; PREDICTION; BIOMARKER; MODELMultiple languages
Clinical Neurology; Psychiatry; SurgeryMultiple languages
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/60345

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