Universität zu Köln

Santos, J. A., Rochinha, C., Liberato, M. L. R., Reyers, M. and Pinto, J. G. (2015). Projected changes in wind energy potentials over Iberia. Renew. Energy, 75. S. 68 - 81. OXFORD: PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD. ISSN 0960-1481

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Abstract

Wind energy potential in Iberia is assessed for recent-past (1961-2000) and future (2041-2070) climates. For recent-past, a COSMO-CLM simulation driven by ERA-40 is used. COSMO-CLM simulations driven by ECHAM5 following the A1B scenario are used for future projections. A 2 MW rated power wind turbine is selected. Mean potentials, inter-annual variability and irregularity are discussed on annual/seasonal scales and on a grid resolution of 20 km. For detailed regional assessments eight target sites are considered. For recent-past conditions, the highest daily mean potentials are found in winter over northern and eastern Iberia, particularly on high-elevation or coastal regions. In northwestern Iberia, daily potentials frequently reach maximum wind energy output (50 MWh day(-1)), particularly in winter. Southern Andalucia reveals high potentials throughout the year, whereas the Ebro valley and central-western coast show high potentials in summer. The irregularity in annual potentials is moderate (<15% of mean output), but exacerbated in winter (40%). Climate change projections show significant decreases over most of Iberia (<2 MWh day(-1)). The strong enhancement of autumn potentials in Southern Andalucia is noteworthy (>2 MWh day(-1)). The northward displacement of North Atlantic westerly winds (autumn-spring) and the strengthening of easterly flows (summer) are key drivers of future projections. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code Santos, J. A. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Rochinha, C. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Liberato, M. L. R. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Reyers, M. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Pinto, J. G. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-407126
DOI:	10.1016/j.renene.2014.09.026
Journal or Publication Title:	Renew. Energy
Volume:	75
Page Range:	S. 68 - 81
Date:	2015
Publisher:	PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Place of Publication:	OXFORD
ISSN:	0960-1481
Language:	English
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL; CHANGE IMPACT; POWER; EUROPE; UNCERTAINTIES; METHODOLOGY; VARIABILITY; SENSITIVITY; GENERATION; RESOURCES Multiple languages Green & Sustainable Science & Technology; Energy & Fuels Multiple languages
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/40712