Wagner, Bernd ORCID: 0000-0002-1369-7893, Vogel, Hendrik ORCID: 0000-0002-9902-8120, Francke, Alexander, Friedrich, Tobias, Donders, Timme, Lacey, Jack H. ORCID: 0000-0002-6329-2149, Leng, Melanie J., Regattieri, Eleonora ORCID: 0000-0003-0089-4027, Sadori, Laura ORCID: 0000-0002-2774-6705, Wilke, Thomas ORCID: 0000-0001-8263-7758, Zanchetta, Giovanni, Albrecht, Christian, Bertini, Adele, Combourieu-Nebout, Nathalie ORCID: 0000-0002-3604-5986, Cvetkoska, Aleksandra, Giaccio, Biagio ORCID: 0000-0002-7007-9127, Grazhdani, Andon, Hauffe, Torsten, Holtvoeth, Jens ORCID: 0000-0002-9259-4728, Joannin, Sebastien ORCID: 0000-0001-8345-9252, Jovanovska, Elena, Just, Janna ORCID: 0000-0002-5257-604X, Kouli, Katerina ORCID: 0000-0003-1656-1091, Kousis, Ilias, Koutsodendris, Andreas ORCID: 0000-0003-4236-7508, Krastel, Sebastian, Lagos, Markus, Leicher, Niklas ORCID: 0000-0002-3367-5982, Levkov, Zlatko, Lindhorst, Katja, Masi, Alessia ORCID: 0000-0001-9822-9767, Melles, Martin, Mercuri, Anna M., Nomade, Sebastien, Nowaczyk, Norbert, Panagiotopoulos, Konstantinos ORCID: 0000-0002-3158-7962, Peyron, Odile, Reed, Jane M., Sagnotti, Leonardo ORCID: 0000-0003-3944-201X, Sinopoli, Gaia, Stelbrink, Bjoern, Sulpizio, Roberto, Timmermann, Axel, Tofilovska, Slavica, Torri, Paola, Wagner-Cremer, Friederike, Wonik, Thomas and Zhang, Xiaosen (2019). Mediterranean winter rainfall in phase with African monsoons during the past 1.36 million years. Nature, 573 (7773). S. 256 - 275. LONDON: NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP. ISSN 1476-4687

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Abstract

Mediterranean climates are characterized by strong seasonal contrasts between dry summers and wet winters. Changes in winter rainfall are critical for regional socioeconomic development, but are difficult to simulate accurately(1) and reconstruct on Quaternary timescales. This is partly because regional hydroclimate records that cover multiple glacial-interglacial cycles(2,3) with different orbital geometries, global ice volume and atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are scarce. Moreover, the underlying mechanisms of change and their persistence remain unexplored. Here we show that, over the past 1.36 million years, wet winters in the northcentral Mediterranean tend to occur with high contrasts in local, seasonal insolation and a vigorous African summer monsoon. Our proxy time series from Lake Ohrid on the Balkan Peninsula, together with a 784,000-year transient climate model hindcast, suggest that increased sea surface temperatures amplify local cyclone development and refuel North Atlantic low-pressure systems that enter the Mediterranean during phases of low continental ice volume and high concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases. A comparison with modern reanalysis data shows that current drivers of the amount of rainfall in the Mediterranean share some similarities to those that drive the reconstructed increases in precipitation. Our data cover multiple insolation maxima and are therefore an important benchmark for testing climate model performance.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Wagner, BerndUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-1369-7893UNSPECIFIED
Vogel, HendrikUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-9902-8120UNSPECIFIED
Francke, AlexanderUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Friedrich, TobiasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Donders, TimmeUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Lacey, Jack H.UNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-6329-2149UNSPECIFIED
Leng, Melanie J.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Regattieri, EleonoraUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0003-0089-4027UNSPECIFIED
Sadori, LauraUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-2774-6705UNSPECIFIED
Wilke, ThomasUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0001-8263-7758UNSPECIFIED
Zanchetta, GiovanniUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Albrecht, ChristianUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Bertini, AdeleUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Combourieu-Nebout, NathalieUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-3604-5986UNSPECIFIED
Cvetkoska, AleksandraUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Giaccio, BiagioUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-7007-9127UNSPECIFIED
Grazhdani, AndonUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Hauffe, TorstenUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Holtvoeth, JensUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-9259-4728UNSPECIFIED
Joannin, SebastienUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0001-8345-9252UNSPECIFIED
Jovanovska, ElenaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Just, JannaUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-5257-604XUNSPECIFIED
Kouli, KaterinaUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0003-1656-1091UNSPECIFIED
Kousis, IliasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Koutsodendris, AndreasUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0003-4236-7508UNSPECIFIED
Krastel, SebastianUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Lagos, MarkusUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Leicher, NiklasUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-3367-5982UNSPECIFIED
Levkov, ZlatkoUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Lindhorst, KatjaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Masi, AlessiaUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0001-9822-9767UNSPECIFIED
Melles, MartinUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Mercuri, Anna M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Nomade, SebastienUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Nowaczyk, NorbertUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Panagiotopoulos, KonstantinosUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0002-3158-7962UNSPECIFIED
Peyron, OdileUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Reed, Jane M.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Sagnotti, LeonardoUNSPECIFIEDorcid.org/0000-0003-3944-201XUNSPECIFIED
Sinopoli, GaiaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Stelbrink, BjoernUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Sulpizio, RobertoUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Timmermann, AxelUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Tofilovska, SlavicaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Torri, PaolaUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Wagner-Cremer, FriederikeUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Wonik, ThomasUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Zhang, XiaosenUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-141443
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1529-0
Journal or Publication Title: Nature
Volume: 573
Number: 7773
Page Range: S. 256 - 275
Date: 2019
Publisher: NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
Place of Publication: LONDON
ISSN: 1476-4687
Language: English
Faculty: Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences
Divisions: Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences > Department of Geosciences > Institute of Geology and Mineralog
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
LAKE OHRID MACEDONIA; MIDDLE PLEISTOCENE; TEPHROCHRONOLOGICAL RECORD; LACUSTRINE SUCCESSION; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; SEDIMENT SEQUENCE; ISOTOPE RECORDS; CLIMATE CHANGES; CARBON-DIOXIDE; SULMONA BASINMultiple languages
Multidisciplinary SciencesMultiple languages
Refereed: Yes
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/14144

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