Universität zu Köln

Rohlfing, Ingo ORCID: 0000-0001-8715-4771 and Schaffoener, Tobias (2019). The time-varying relationship between economic globalization and the ideological center of gravity of party systems. PLoS One, 14 (2). SAN FRANCISCO: PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE. ISSN 1932-6203

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Abstract

Does economic globalization influence the positioning of parties and, as a consequence, the ideological characteristics of party systems? Answering this question is important because we need to understand the constraints that parties face in formulating policies from which voters have to choose. In our paper, we take a systemic perspective and conceptualize a party system's ideological center of gravity as the outcome of interest. We define the center of gravity as the weighted mean position of all parliamentary parties in a country that represents the position to which parties gravitate. We start by formulating static hypotheses on the effect of imports and exports on the center of gravity and derive their underlying mechanisms. We further derive dynamic hypotheses stipulating varying effects over time based on the premise that partisan attitudes toward globalization have undergone multiple changes over the last decades. A time-series cross-section analysis of 129 elections in 15 Western European countries from 1974 to 2015 finds evidence for opposite effects of exports and imports in the pooled data. Additionally, a moving-window analysis indicates that the relationship between globalization and the center of gravity varies over time. This is a significant finding because it suggests that economic globalization has an influence on party systems and that it is important to test for time-varying effects.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code Rohlfing, Ingo UNSPECIFIED orcid.org/0000-0001-8715-4771 UNSPECIFIED Schaffoener, Tobias UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-156267
DOI:	10.1371/journal.pone.0212945
Journal or Publication Title:	PLoS One
Volume:	14
Number:	2
Date:	2019
Publisher:	PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE
Place of Publication:	SAN FRANCISCO
ISSN:	1932-6203
Language:	English
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language PUBLIC-OPINION; TRADE-POLICY; ELECTORAL CONSEQUENCES; POLITICAL-ECONOMY; STATE; DEMOCRACY; LIBERALIZATION; PRIVATIZATION; DETERMINANTS; BILATERALISM Multiple languages Multidisciplinary Sciences Multiple languages
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/15626