Zweck, Elric, Spieker, Maximilian, Horn, Patrick, Iliadis, Christos, Metze, Clemens, Kavsur, Refik, Tiyerili, Vedat, Nickenig, Georg, Baldus, Stephan, Kelm, Malte, Becher, Marc Ulrich, Fister, Roman P. and Westenfeld, Ralf (2021). Machine Learning Identifies Clinical Parameters to Predict Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair. JACC-Cardiovasc. Interv., 14 (18). S. 2027 - 2037. NEW YORK: ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC. ISSN 1876-7605

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Abstract

OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to develop a machine learning (ML)-based risk stratification tool for 1-year mortality in transcatheter mitral valve repair (TMVR) patients incorporating metabolic and hemodynamic parameters. BACKGROUND The lack of appropriate, well-validated, and specific means to risk-stratify patients with mitral regurgitation complicates the evaluation of prognostic benefits of TMVR in clinical trials and practice. METHODS A total of 1,009 TMVR patients from 3 university hospitals within the Heart Failure Network Rhineland were included; 1 hospital (n = 317) served as external validation. The primary endpoint was all-cause 1-year mortality. Model performance was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. In the derivation cohort, different ML algorithms were tested using 5-fold cross-validation. The final model, called MITRALITY (transcatheter mitral valve repair mortality prediction system) was tested in the validation cohort with respect to existing clinical scores. RESULTS Extreme gradient boosting was selected for the MITRALITY score, using only 6 baseline clinical features for prediction (in order of predictive importance): urea, hemoglobin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, mean arterial pressure, body mass index, and creatinine. In the external validation cohort, the MITRALITY score's area under the curve was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.716-0.849), while existing scores yielded areas under the curve of 0.721 (95% CI: 0.63-0.811) and 0.657 (95% CI: 0.536-0.778) at best. CONCLUSIONS The MITRALITY score is a novel, internally and externally validated ML-based tool for risk stratification of patients prior to TMVR, potentially serving future clinical trials and daily clinical practice. (C) 2021 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Zweck, ElricUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Spieker, MaximilianUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Horn, PatrickUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Iliadis, ChristosUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Metze, ClemensUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Kavsur, RefikUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Tiyerili, VedatUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Nickenig, GeorgUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Baldus, StephanUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Kelm, MalteUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Becher, Marc UlrichUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Fister, Roman P.UNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Westenfeld, RalfUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-585197
DOI: 10.1016/j.jcin.2021.06.039
Journal or Publication Title: JACC-Cardiovasc. Interv.
Volume: 14
Number: 18
Page Range: S. 2027 - 2037
Date: 2021
Publisher: ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
Place of Publication: NEW YORK
ISSN: 1876-7605
Language: English
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
ARTIFICIAL-INTELLIGENCE; HEART-FAILURE; OUTCOMES; SCOREMultiple languages
Cardiac & Cardiovascular SystemsMultiple languages
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/58519

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