Seddig, Daniel, Hirtenlehner, Helmut and Reinecke, Jost (2017). Does the perceived risk of sanctions influence juvenile delinquent behavior or vice versa Results from a German longitudinal study. Koln. Z. Soziol. Sozialpsych., 69 (2). S. 259 - 283. WIESBADEN: SPRINGER VIEWEG-SPRINGER FACHMEDIEN WIESBADEN GMBH. ISSN 1861-891X

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Abstract

Perceptual deterrence research is characterized by a numerical dominance of cross-sectional studies. However, cross-sectional studies are unable to separate experiential effects (effects of prior delinquency on subsequent perceptions of sanction risk) from deterrent effects (effects of current perceptions of sanction risk on subsequent delinquency). The few longitudinal studies in the field, allowing to disentangle experiential and deterrent effects, usually find that experiential effects exist and that they are substantially larger than the deterrent effect. With panel data from 1950 adolescents, collected in a longitudinal study in Duisburg, Germany, this paper investigates the existence of experiential and deterrent effects during adolescence. Results from a panel model with autoregressive and cross-lagged effects suggest the dominance of experiential effects. Evidence in favor of deterrence remains limited, suggesting a critical view on findings from cross-sectional perceptual deterrence research and skepticism concerning the crime-preventive returns of more frequent legal punishment.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Seddig, DanielUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Hirtenlehner, HelmutUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Reinecke, JostUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-228491
DOI: 10.1007/s11577-017-0448-z
Journal or Publication Title: Koln. Z. Soziol. Sozialpsych.
Volume: 69
Number: 2
Page Range: S. 259 - 283
Date: 2017
Publisher: SPRINGER VIEWEG-SPRINGER FACHMEDIEN WIESBADEN GMBH
Place of Publication: WIESBADEN
ISSN: 1861-891X
Language: German
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
PERCEPTUAL DETERRENCE; GENERAL DETERRENCE; CRIME; OFFENDERS; MODEL; REPLICATION; INHIBITION; DEFINITION; PUNISHMENTMultiple languages
Psychology, Social; SociologyMultiple languages
Refereed: Yes
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/22849

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