Schulze, Alexander and Dreier, Volker (2015). The Impact of Social and Demographic Structural Changes on the Poverty Development in Germany. Koln. Z. Soziol. Sozialpsych., 67 (2). S. 197 - 217. WIESBADEN: SPRINGER VIEWEG-SPRINGER FACHMEDIEN WIESBADEN GMBH. ISSN 1861-891X

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Abstract

In the course of social and demographic changes the share of the population with comparatively low poverty risks (e.g. highly educated, childless and middle-aged persons) increased substantially. Still, the aggregated poverty rate did not sink over time. To explain this phenomenon, this paper analyses the impact that structural changes in age, education, and household composition had on the development of poverty in Germany between 1992 and 2008. For this purpose individual poverty risks are estimated according to age, educational level and number of children for each calendar year in the given period and aggregated on the basis of the population structure of the year 1992. This reveals the poverty development under constant, structurally adjusted conditions and enables the comparison with the actual development.The data analysis is based on the German socio-economic panel. The findings show that due to the increase of individual poverty risks today-structurally adjusted-an additional third of people would be poor (16.6 %) than is actually the case (12.0 %). The structural population changes towards social groups with relatively low poverty risks therefore prevented an increase in poverty rate by more than four percentage points. Thus, the stagnating respectively 'only' slightly increased poverty ratio is for the most part a positive result of the socio-demographic changes in German society.

Item Type: Journal Article
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCIDORCID Put Code
Schulze, AlexanderUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
Dreier, VolkerUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIEDUNSPECIFIED
URN: urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-402265
DOI: 10.1007/s11577-015-0307-8
Journal or Publication Title: Koln. Z. Soziol. Sozialpsych.
Volume: 67
Number: 2
Page Range: S. 197 - 217
Date: 2015
Publisher: SPRINGER VIEWEG-SPRINGER FACHMEDIEN WIESBADEN GMBH
Place of Publication: WIESBADEN
ISSN: 1861-891X
Language: German
Faculty: Unspecified
Divisions: Unspecified
Subjects: no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:
KeywordsLanguage
Psychology, Social; SociologyMultiple languages
URI: http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/40226

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