Universität zu Köln

Barthel, Roland ORCID: 0000-0003-2004-6199, Krimly, Tatjana, Elbers, Michael, Soboll, Anja, Wackerbauer, Johann, Hennicker, Rolf, Janisch, Stephan, Reichenau, Tim G., Dabbert, Stephan, Schmude, Juergen, Ernst, Andreas and Mauser, Wolfram (2011). Global change impacts on groundwater in Southern Germany-Part 2: Socioeconomic aspects. Grundwasser, 16 (4). S. 259 - 269. HEIDELBERG: SPRINGER HEIDELBERG. ISSN 1430-483X

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Abstract

In order to account for complex interactions between humans climate and the water cycle, the research consortium GLOWA-Danube (www.glowa-danube.de) has developed the simulation system DANUBIA which consists of 17 coupled models. DANUBIA was applied to investigate various impacts of global-change between 2011 and 2060 in the Upper Danube Catchment. This article describes part 2 of an article series with investigations of socio-economic aspects, while part 1 (Barthel et al. in Grundwasser 16(4), doi:10.1007/s007-011-01794, 2011) deals with natural-spatial aspects. The principles of socioeconomic actor-modeling and interactions between socioeconomic and natural science model components are described here. We present selected simulations that show impacts on groundwater from changes in agriculture, tourism, economy, domestic water users and water supply. Despite decreases in water consumption, the scenario simulations show significant decreases in groundwater quantity. On the other hand, groundwater quality will likely be influenced more severely by land use changes compared to direct climatic causes. However, overall changes will not be dramatic.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Creators:	Creators Email ORCID ORCID Put Code Barthel, Roland UNSPECIFIED orcid.org/0000-0003-2004-6199 UNSPECIFIED Krimly, Tatjana UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Elbers, Michael UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Soboll, Anja UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Wackerbauer, Johann UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Hennicker, Rolf UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Janisch, Stephan UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Reichenau, Tim G. UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Dabbert, Stephan UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Schmude, Juergen UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Ernst, Andreas UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Mauser, Wolfram UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED
URN:	urn:nbn:de:hbz:38-484500
DOI:	10.1007/s00767-011-0180-y
Journal or Publication Title:	Grundwasser
Volume:	16
Number:	4
Page Range:	S. 259 - 269
Date:	2011
Publisher:	SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
Place of Publication:	HEIDELBERG
ISSN:	1430-483X
Language:	Dutch
Faculty:	Unspecified
Divisions:	Unspecified
Subjects:	no entry
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Keywords Language WATER Multiple languages Environmental Sciences; Water Resources Multiple languages
URI:	http://kups.ub.uni-koeln.de/id/eprint/48450